Global Trade Resilience Index 2026


The 2026 edition assesses how well countries are positioned to preserve trade continuity in a more fragmented and shock-prone global economy. Moving beyond conventional measures of openness or competitiveness, the Index focuses on the ability of national trade systems to absorb disruption, adapt under pressure, and recover when trade conditions deteriorate.

This year’s report reflects a major evolution in the GTRI framework. It expands the analysis from localised trade disruptions to systemic fragmentation, capturing how shocks can spread through trade networks, logistics systems, insurance costs, financing conditions, business confidence, and policy expectations.

Germany ranks first in GTRI 2026, followed by France and the Netherlands. The results show that the most resilient economies are not necessarily the largest or most open, but those that combine diversified trade structures, institutional strength, operational efficiency, and strategic redundancy.

The core message of GTRI 2026 is clear: trade resilience is no longer a defensive concept. It is becoming a strategic economic capability. Countries that build it will be better able to sustain production, protect competitiveness, preserve investor confidence, and capture opportunity as supply chains reorganise and trade corridors shift.

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