Whiteshield & Google @ Davos 2026

Advancing Labour Resilience in an Era of AI and Trade FragmentationGlobal Labour Resilience Index 2026: Jobs in the Crossfire .

Assessing workforce resilience amid technological disruption and geopolitical fragmentation 

The Global Labour Resilience Index (GLRI) 2026, released by Whiteshield in collaboration with IHC and CEMS during the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, assesses labour market resilience across 120 economies in a context of rapid technological change, rising trade tensions, and increasing geopolitical risk. The Index shows that technological strength alone is no longer sufficient, as labour markets are increasingly shaped by the interaction between AI-driven transformation and trade fragmentation. As a result, labour resilience has become a strategic economic capability that influences productivity, investment decisions, workforce stability, and long-term competitiveness. Countries perform differently under technology and trade shocks, and resilience depends on aligning skills systems, labour institutions, technology diffusion, and industrial and trade strategies.  

The GLRI 2026 provides policymakers and business leaders with a diagnostic and early-warning tool to support anticipatory decision-making and long-term economic security. Read more 

Why Labour Resilience Is Now a Strategic Economic Capability 

From social policy to a driver of productivity, investment, and competitiveness 

The GLRI 2026 assesses labour market resilience at a time when structural forces are reshaping production, skills demand, and supply chains across economies. While artificial intelligence continues to transform how work is organised and how firms compete, this year’s Index identifies trade fragmentation, driven by tariffs, supply chain disruptions, and policy uncertainty, as an additional and decisive test of labour market resilience. The central message is that technological strength alone is no longer sufficient. Countries and firms must now manage the interaction between rapid technological change and a more volatile global trading environment. 

As a result, labour resilience directly affects productivity performance, investment attractiveness, workforce stability, and the capacity of firms and economies to scale new activities. Labour market institutions and skills systems therefore function as core components of economic and industrial strategy, not only as social policy tools. Structural forces, rather than business cycles alone, increasingly determine how skills are redeployed and how firms adjust to change. 

Diverging Risk Profiles Under Technology and Trade Shocks 

Why resilience requires preparation across multiple dimensions 

The GLRI 2026 shows that countries often perform differently when exposed to technological disruption than when facing trade shocks. Some technology-advanced economies remain vulnerable because of concentrated trading partners, dependence on imported critical inputs, and exposure to external policy volatility. Others are better positioned to absorb trade disruption but are less prepared for rapid technological change. Strength in one domain does not compensate for weakness in another, which makes multidimensional resilience essential for both economic stability and business continuity. 

Alignment as the Foundation of Sustainable Adjustment 

Connecting workforce policy, business transformation, and industrial strategy 

The strongest performers are those that align workforce and social protection policies with education systems, technology diffusion, business transformation, and trade and industrial strategies. Where these policy areas evolve separately, labour adjustment is slower, productivity gains are less widely shared, and firms face higher transition costs. Labour resilience should therefore be treated as strategic economic infrastructure, requiring sustained investment, institutional coordination, and long-term planning. 

Three Priorities for Leaders 

Building capacity to adapt, not only to absorb shocks 

For leaders in government and industry, the GLRI 2026 highlights three priorities:  

• building diversified and mobile workforces,  

• strengthening institutions that enable rapid labour market adjustment, and  

• managing AI adoption as a workforce transition rather than solely as a technology upgrade. 

In a world of persistent disruption, labour resilience is no longer about preserving today’s jobs, but about sustaining the capacity of firms and economies to adapt, compete, and grow over time.